Postmatch editorial

UD Ibiza flipped the prices on their head

The final score was UD Ibiza 1-0 Real Zaragoza. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Alejandro Sanchez put the first mark on the match 70', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Real Zaragoza led Total shots 4-13, even though the scoreboard went another way. Real Zaragoza also shaded Shots on target 2-4.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Real Zaragoza the favourite at 50.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Real Zaragoza

50.8%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Real Zaragoza

UD Ibiza

Real Zaragoza

4

13

Shots on target

Real Zaragoza

UD Ibiza

Real Zaragoza

2

4

Possession

Real Zaragoza

UD Ibiza

Real Zaragoza

25%

75%