Postmatch editorial

Alianza Atlético upset the pre-match prices

The final score was UCV Moquegua 1-4 Alianza Atlético. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

UCV Moquegua struck first through Bryan Angulo 20', but Alianza Atlético recovered and flipped the match.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Alianza Atlético led Shots on target 3-6. Alianza Atlético also shaded Total shots 10-19.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made UCV Moquegua the favourite at 41.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

UCV Moquegua

41.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Alianza Atlético

UCV Moquegua

Alianza Atlético

3

6

Total shots

Alianza Atlético

UCV Moquegua

Alianza Atlético

10

19

Corners

UCV Moquegua

UCV Moquegua

Alianza Atlético

5

4