Postmatch editorial

Larne made the pre-match prices look right

The final score was Tre Fiori 0-1 Larne. The median bookmaker prices were already leaning toward that outcome.

Matthew Lusty put the first mark on the match 45', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Larne led Shots on target 0-4. Larne also shaded Total shots 2-11.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Larne the favourite at 70.4% implied probability. That market lean landed.

Market check

Market result

Larne

70.4%

Hit
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Larne

Tre Fiori

Larne

0

4

Total shots

Larne

Tre Fiori

Larne

2

11

Possession

Larne

Tre Fiori

Larne

34%

66%