Postmatch editorial

Tre Fiori upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Tre Fiori 3-1 Fola Esch. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Massimo Goh put the first mark on the match 31', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Fola Esch led Corners 3-5, even though the scoreboard went another way. Fola Esch also shaded Shots on target 7-9.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Fola Esch the favourite at 65.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Fola Esch

65.4%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Fola Esch

Tre Fiori

Fola Esch

3

5

Shots on target

Fola Esch

Tre Fiori

Fola Esch

7

9

Total shots

Tre Fiori

Tre Fiori

Fola Esch

8

7