Postmatch editorial

Toulouse flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Toulouse 2-1 Olympique Lyonnais. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Warren Kamanzi scored 78' for Toulouse.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Toulouse led Shots on target 6-3. Olympique Lyonnais also shaded Possession 39%-61%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Olympique Lyonnais the favourite at 54.1% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Olympique Lyonnais

54.1%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Toulouse

Toulouse

Olympique Lyonnais

6

3

Possession

Olympique Lyonnais

Toulouse

Olympique Lyonnais

39%

61%

Total shots

Olympique Lyonnais

Toulouse

Olympique Lyonnais

14

18