Tottenham Hotspur
Nottingham Forest won after full-time.
0 - 3
FT
Nottingham Forest
Postmatch editorial
Nottingham Forest settled a divided pre-match read
The final score was Tottenham Hotspur 0-3 Nottingham Forest. The model and the market were not perfectly aligned, but one side of that divide ended up cashing out.
The decisive turn arrived late when Taiwo Awoniyi scored 87' for Nottingham Forest.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Nottingham Forest led Shots on target 3-7. Tottenham Hotspur also shaded Corners 13-3.
Before kickoff, our model made Nottingham Forest the likeliest result at 39.8%, while the median bookmaker line priced Tottenham Hotspur at 42.4% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (61.8%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Nottingham Forest
39.8%
Market result
Tottenham Hotspur
42.4%
BTTS
Yes
61.8%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
Nottingham ForestTottenham Hotspur
Nottingham Forest
3
7
Corners
Tottenham HotspurTottenham Hotspur
Nottingham Forest
13
3
Total shots
Tottenham HotspurTottenham Hotspur
Nottingham Forest
14
8
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.