Postmatch editorial

The prices said close and the pitch agreed

The final score was The New Saints 1-1 Swift Hesperange. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.

The late equaliser came from Rory Holden 74', which kept the game level at the finish.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Swift Hesperange led Shots on target 2-5, even though the scoreboard went another way. The New Saints also shaded Corners 8-4.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made The New Saints the favourite at 39.2% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

The New Saints

39.2%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Swift Hesperange

The New Saints

Swift Hesperange

2

5

Corners

The New Saints

The New Saints

Swift Hesperange

8

4

Possession

The New Saints

The New Saints

Swift Hesperange

57%

43%