Postmatch editorial

Ternana upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Ternana 1-0 Catanzaro. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Filippo Distefano scored 78' for Ternana.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Ternana led Shots on target 8-1. Ternana also shaded Total shots 12-7.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Catanzaro the favourite at 42.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Catanzaro

42.6%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Ternana

Ternana

Catanzaro

8

1

Total shots

Ternana

Ternana

Catanzaro

12

7

Possession

Catanzaro

Ternana

Catanzaro

35%

65%