Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Ternana 1-2 AlbinoLeffe. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Sacha Cori put the first mark on the match 40', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Ternana led Shots on target 8-5, even though the scoreboard went another way. Ternana also shaded Corners 6-4.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Ternana the favourite at 45.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Ternana

45.6%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Ternana

Ternana

AlbinoLeffe

8

5

Corners

Ternana

Ternana

AlbinoLeffe

6

4

Possession

Ternana

Ternana

AlbinoLeffe

53%

47%