Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Talavera CF 1-0 Toledo. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Miguel Espinar scored 78' for Talavera CF.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Talavera CF led Shots on target 2-0. Toledo also shaded Corners 1-4.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Toledo the favourite at 46.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Toledo

46.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Talavera CF

Talavera CF

Toledo

2

0

Corners

Toledo

Talavera CF

Toledo

1

4

Total shots

Talavera CF

Talavera CF

Toledo

7

6