Postmatch editorial

Talavera CF flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Talavera CF 2-1 Málaga. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Sergio Montero put the first mark on the match 55', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Málaga led Corners 2-9, even though the scoreboard went another way. Málaga also shaded Total shots 10-14.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Málaga the favourite at 51.3% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Málaga

51.3%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Málaga

Talavera CF

Málaga

2

9

Total shots

Málaga

Talavera CF

Málaga

10

14

Possession

Málaga

Talavera CF

Málaga

45%

55%