Postmatch editorial

Aldershot Town flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Swindon Town 4-7 Aldershot Town. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Jack Barham put the first mark on the match 1', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Swindon Town led Corners 8-1, even though the scoreboard went another way. Aldershot Town also shaded Shots on target 5-8.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Swindon Town the favourite at 69.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Swindon Town

69.0%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Swindon Town

Swindon Town

Aldershot Town

8

1

Shots on target

Aldershot Town

Swindon Town

Aldershot Town

5

8

Total shots

Aldershot Town

Swindon Town

Aldershot Town

9

13