Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Swansea City 1-2 Stoke City. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Swansea City struck first through Andy King 14', but Stoke City recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Swansea City led Total shots 27-8, even though the scoreboard went another way. Swansea City also shaded Corners 6-0.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Swansea City the favourite at 49.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Swansea City

49.0%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Swansea City

Swansea City

Stoke City

27

8

Corners

Swansea City

Swansea City

Stoke City

6

0

Shots on target

Swansea City

Swansea City

Stoke City

11

5