Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Sunderland 0-5 Nottingham Forest. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Elliot Anderson scored 90+5' for Nottingham Forest.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Nottingham Forest led Shots on target 4-6. Nottingham Forest also shaded Corners 3-6.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Sunderland the favourite at 37.3% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Sunderland

37.3%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Nottingham Forest

Sunderland

Nottingham Forest

4

6

Corners

Nottingham Forest

Sunderland

Nottingham Forest

3

6

Possession

Sunderland

Sunderland

Nottingham Forest

61%

39%