Sunderland
Brighton & Hove Albion won after full-time.
0 - 1
FT
Brighton & Hove Albion
Postmatch editorial
The script held and Brighton & Hove Albion delivered it
The final score was Sunderland 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
Yankuba Minteh put the first mark on the match 58', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Sunderland led Corners 7-3, even though the scoreboard went another way. Sunderland also shaded Total shots 14-12.
Before kickoff, our model made Brighton & Hove Albion the likeliest result at 43.7%, while the median bookmaker line priced Brighton & Hove Albion at 48.8% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (53.8%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Brighton & Hove Albion
43.7%
Market result
Brighton & Hove Albion
48.8%
BTTS
Yes
53.8%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
SunderlandSunderland
Brighton & Hove Albion
7
3
Total shots
SunderlandSunderland
Brighton & Hove Albion
14
12
Possession
Brighton & Hove AlbionSunderland
Brighton & Hove Albion
48%
52%
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.