Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Struga 3-1 Swift Hesperange. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Besart Ibraimi  scored 77' for Struga.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Struga led Shots on target 8-4. Struga also shaded Corners 5-2.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Swift Hesperange the favourite at 43.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Swift Hesperange

43.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Struga

Struga

Swift Hesperange

8

4

Corners

Struga

Struga

Swift Hesperange

5

2

Total shots

Swift Hesperange

Struga

Swift Hesperange

9

14