Strasbourg
Paris Saint Germain won after full-time.
1 - 2
FT
Paris Saint Germain
Postmatch editorial
Paris Saint Germain made the numbers look right
The final score was Strasbourg 1-2 Paris Saint Germain. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
Strasbourg struck first through Joaquín Panichelli 20', but Paris Saint Germain recovered and flipped the match.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Paris Saint Germain led Possession 32%-68%. Paris Saint Germain also shaded Total shots 9-13.
Before kickoff, our model made Paris Saint Germain the likeliest result at 52.6%, while the median bookmaker line priced Paris Saint Germain at 61.7% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (60.2%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Paris Saint Germain
52.6%
Market result
Paris Saint Germain
61.7%
BTTS
Yes
60.2%
Key stats
Match numbers
Possession
Paris Saint GermainStrasbourg
Paris Saint Germain
32%
68%
Total shots
Paris Saint GermainStrasbourg
Paris Saint Germain
9
13
Corners
Paris Saint GermainStrasbourg
Paris Saint Germain
5
6
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.