Strasbourg
Strasbourg won after full-time.
3 - 1
FT
Nice
Postmatch editorial
Strasbourg made the numbers look right
The final score was Strasbourg 3-1 Nice. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
Martial Godo put the first mark on the match 28', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Strasbourg led Shots on target 6-3. Strasbourg also shaded Total shots 16-8.
Before kickoff, our model made Strasbourg the likeliest result at 54.7%, while the median bookmaker line priced Strasbourg at 52.4% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (50.8%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Strasbourg
54.7%
Market result
Strasbourg
52.4%
BTTS
Yes
50.8%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
StrasbourgStrasbourg
Nice
6
3
Total shots
StrasbourgStrasbourg
Nice
16
8
Corners
NiceStrasbourg
Nice
4
10
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.