Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Stoke City 1-2 Swansea City. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Stoke City struck first through Eric-Junior Bocat 10', but Swansea City recovered and flipped the match.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Swansea City led Shots on target 2-3. Swansea City also shaded Possession 41%-59%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Stoke City the favourite at 44.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Stoke City

44.4%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Swansea City

Stoke City

Swansea City

2

3

Possession

Swansea City

Stoke City

Swansea City

41%

59%

Total shots

Swansea City

Stoke City

Swansea City

6

7