St. Pauli
VfL Wolfsburg won after full-time.
1 - 3
FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Postmatch editorial
The script held and VfL Wolfsburg delivered it
The final score was St. Pauli 1-3 VfL Wolfsburg. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when Dzenan Pejcinovic scored 80' for VfL Wolfsburg.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: VfL Wolfsburg led Shots on target 2-10. VfL Wolfsburg also shaded Total shots 11-19.
Before kickoff, our model made VfL Wolfsburg the likeliest result at 38.2%, while the median bookmaker line priced VfL Wolfsburg at 39.2% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (52.4%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
VfL Wolfsburg
38.2%
Market result
VfL Wolfsburg
39.2%
BTTS
Yes
52.4%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
VfL WolfsburgSt. Pauli
VfL Wolfsburg
2
10
Total shots
VfL WolfsburgSt. Pauli
VfL Wolfsburg
11
19
Possession
VfL WolfsburgSt. Pauli
VfL Wolfsburg
44%
56%
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.