Postmatch editorial
SC Freiburg upset the pre-match prices
The final score was St. Pauli 1-2 SC Freiburg. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
St. Pauli struck first through Danel Sinani 24', but SC Freiburg recovered and flipped the match.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: St. Pauli led Corners 3-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. SC Freiburg also shaded Total shots 12-15.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made St. Pauli the favourite at 37.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
St. Pauli
37.7%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
St. PauliSt. Pauli
SC Freiburg
3
2
Total shots
SC FreiburgSt. Pauli
SC Freiburg
12
15
Shots on target
SC FreiburgSt. Pauli
SC Freiburg
5
6