Postmatch editorial

Kaiserslautern flipped the prices on their head

The final score was St. Pauli 1-2 Kaiserslautern. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Erencan Yardımcı put the first mark on the match 29', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: St. Pauli led Shots on target 7-4, even though the scoreboard went another way. St. Pauli also shaded Total shots 21-11.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made St. Pauli the favourite at 56.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

St. Pauli

56.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

St. Pauli

St. Pauli

Kaiserslautern

7

4

Total shots

St. Pauli

St. Pauli

Kaiserslautern

21

11

Possession

St. Pauli

St. Pauli

Kaiserslautern

59%

41%