Postmatch editorial
Neither side managed to pull the match clear
The final score was St. Pauli 0-0 Eintracht Frankfurt. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.
Neither St. Pauli nor Eintracht Frankfurt found a breakthrough, so the game stayed goalless all the way through.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Eintracht Frankfurt led Possession 28%-72%, even though the scoreboard went another way. St. Pauli also shaded Total shots 11-8.
Before kickoff, our model made St. Pauli the likeliest result at 44.7%, while the median bookmaker line priced St. Pauli at 39.3% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (53.0%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
St. Pauli
44.7%
Market result
St. Pauli
39.3%
BTTS
Yes
53.0%
Match numbers
Possession
Eintracht FrankfurtSt. Pauli
Eintracht Frankfurt
28%
72%
Total shots
St. PauliSt. Pauli
Eintracht Frankfurt
11
8
Corners
St. PauliSt. Pauli
Eintracht Frankfurt
6
5
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.