Postmatch editorial

Neither side managed to pull the match clear

The final score was St. Pauli 0-0 Eintracht Frankfurt. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.

Neither St. Pauli nor Eintracht Frankfurt found a breakthrough, so the game stayed goalless all the way through.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Eintracht Frankfurt led Possession 28%-72%, even though the scoreboard went another way. St. Pauli also shaded Total shots 11-8.

Before kickoff, our model made St. Pauli the likeliest result at 44.7%, while the median bookmaker line priced St. Pauli at 39.3% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (53.0%), and that angle missed.

Prediction checks

Model result

St. Pauli

44.7%

Miss

Market result

St. Pauli

39.3%

Miss

BTTS

Yes

53.0%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Possession

Eintracht Frankfurt

St. Pauli

Eintracht Frankfurt

28%

72%

Total shots

St. Pauli

St. Pauli

Eintracht Frankfurt

11

8

Corners

St. Pauli

St. Pauli

Eintracht Frankfurt

6

5

Value angle

No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.