Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Sporting Gijón 0-3 Villarreal II. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Álex Forés scored 77' for Villarreal II.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Sporting Gijón led Corners 8-3, even though the scoreboard went another way. Villarreal II also shaded Shots on target 3-4.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Sporting Gijón the favourite at 61.9% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Sporting Gijón

61.9%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Sporting Gijón

Sporting Gijón

Villarreal II

8

3

Shots on target

Villarreal II

Sporting Gijón

Villarreal II

3

4

Total shots

Villarreal II

Sporting Gijón

Villarreal II

12

16