Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Sporting Gijón 1-4 Ponferradina. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Adrián Castellano scored 82' for Ponferradina.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Sporting Gijón led Total shots 20-6, even though the scoreboard went another way. Sporting Gijón also shaded Corners 3-1.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Sporting Gijón the favourite at 54.3% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Sporting Gijón

54.3%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Sporting Gijón

Sporting Gijón

Ponferradina

20

6

Corners

Sporting Gijón

Sporting Gijón

Ponferradina

3

1

Possession

Sporting Gijón

Sporting Gijón

Ponferradina

59%

41%