Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Sporting Gijón 3-1 Almería. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
The decisive turn arrived late when Pablo Vázquez scored 82' for Sporting Gijón.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Almería led Possession 35%-65%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Almería also shaded Total shots 13-20.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Almería the favourite at 49.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Almería
49.8%
Key stats
Match numbers
Possession
AlmeríaSporting Gijón
Almería
35%
65%
Total shots
AlmeríaSporting Gijón
Almería
13
20
Corners
AlmeríaSporting Gijón
Almería
4
8