Postmatch editorial

Sporting CP made the pre-match prices look right

The final score was Sporting CP 3-2 Vitória Guimarães. The median bookmaker prices were already leaning toward that outcome.

Flávio Gonçalves put the first mark on the match 9', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Vitória Guimarães led Total shots 5-12, even though the scoreboard went another way. Sporting CP also shaded Corners 5-1.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Sporting CP the favourite at 74.3% implied probability. That market lean landed.

Market check

Market result

Sporting CP

74.3%

Hit
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Vitória Guimarães

Sporting CP

Vitória Guimarães

5

12

Corners

Sporting CP

Sporting CP

Vitória Guimarães

5

1

Possession

Sporting CP

Sporting CP

Vitória Guimarães

56%

44%