Postmatch editorial

Benfica upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Sporting CP 1-2 Benfica. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Sporting CP struck first through Luis Suárez 19', but Benfica recovered and flipped the match.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Benfica led Corners 3-8. Sporting CP also shaded Possession 61%-39%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Sporting CP the favourite at 49.3% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Sporting CP

49.3%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Benfica

Sporting CP

Benfica

3

8

Possession

Sporting CP

Sporting CP

Benfica

61%

39%

Total shots

Sporting CP

Sporting CP

Benfica

19

14