Postmatch editorial
Spezia made the pre-match prices look right
The final score was Spezia 6-1 Südtirol. The median bookmaker prices were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when Giuseppe Aurelio scored 82' for Spezia.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Spezia led Shots on target 9-1. Spezia also shaded Total shots 19-5.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Spezia the favourite at 43.4% implied probability. That market lean landed.
Market check
Market result
Spezia
43.4%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
SpeziaSpezia
Südtirol
9
1
Total shots
SpeziaSpezia
Südtirol
19
5
Possession
SpeziaSpezia
Südtirol
66%
34%