Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Spezia 0-2 Mantova. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Davide Bragantini put the first mark on the match 32', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Spezia led Corners 6-0, even though the scoreboard went another way. Mantova also shaded Shots on target 3-5.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Spezia the favourite at 43.3% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Spezia
43.3%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
SpeziaSpezia
Mantova
6
0
Shots on target
MantovaSpezia
Mantova
3
5
Possession
MantovaSpezia
Mantova
44%
56%