Postmatch editorial

Brescia flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Spezia 0-1 Brescia. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Gennaro Borrelli put the first mark on the match 4', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Spezia led Corners 16-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Spezia also shaded Possession 71%-29%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Spezia the favourite at 61.3% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Spezia

61.3%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Spezia

Spezia

Brescia

16

2

Possession

Spezia

Spezia

Brescia

71%

29%

Total shots

Spezia

Spezia

Brescia

26

13