Postmatch editorial

Spartak Subotica upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Spartak Subotica 2-0 Sparta Praha. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Nemanja Calasan put the first mark on the match 8', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Sparta Praha led Possession 31%-69%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Sparta Praha also shaded Corners 6-15.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Sparta Praha the favourite at 68.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Sparta Praha

68.0%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Possession

Sparta Praha

Spartak Subotica

Sparta Praha

31%

69%

Corners

Sparta Praha

Spartak Subotica

Sparta Praha

6

15

Shots on target

Spartak Subotica

Spartak Subotica

Sparta Praha

6

4