Postmatch editorial

Excelsior flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Sparta Rotterdam 2-3 Excelsior. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Giannino Vianello put the first mark on the match 14', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Sparta Rotterdam led Corners 5-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Sparta Rotterdam also shaded Shots on target 5-4.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Sparta Rotterdam the favourite at 48.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Sparta Rotterdam

48.8%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Sparta Rotterdam

Sparta Rotterdam

Excelsior

5

2

Shots on target

Sparta Rotterdam

Sparta Rotterdam

Excelsior

5

4

Possession

Sparta Rotterdam

Sparta Rotterdam

Excelsior

53%

47%