Postmatch editorial

The prices said close and the pitch agreed

The final score was SPAL 1-1 Crotone. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.

The late equaliser came from Giuseppe Rossi 86', which kept the game level at the finish.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: SPAL led Total shots 22-15, even though the scoreboard went another way. SPAL also shaded Possession 54%-46%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made SPAL the favourite at 51.3% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

SPAL

51.3%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

SPAL

SPAL

Crotone

22

15

Possession

SPAL

SPAL

Crotone

54%

46%

Corners

SPAL

SPAL

Crotone

6

5