South Africa
South Africa won after full-time.
3 - 0
FT
Rwanda
Postmatch editorial
The script held and South Africa delivered it
The final score was South Africa 3-0 Rwanda. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
Thalente Mbatha put the first mark on the match 5', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: South Africa led Shots on target 5-0. South Africa also shaded Total shots 12-4.
Before kickoff, our model made South Africa the likeliest result at 57.4%, while the median bookmaker line priced South Africa at 84.0% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned No (62.4%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
South Africa
57.4%
Market result
South Africa
84.0%
BTTS
No
62.4%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
South AfricaSouth Africa
Rwanda
5
0
Total shots
South AfricaSouth Africa
Rwanda
12
4
Possession
South AfricaSouth Africa
Rwanda
63%
37%
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.