Somalia
Algeria won after full-time.
0 - 3
FT
Algeria
Postmatch editorial
Algeria turned the pre-match edge into points
The final score was Somalia 0-3 Algeria. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
Mohamed Amoura put the first mark on the match 7', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Algeria led Shots on target 0-5. Algeria also shaded Total shots 0-9.
Before kickoff, our model made Algeria the likeliest result at 81.4%, while the median bookmaker line priced Algeria at 98.0% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned No (71.5%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Algeria
81.4%
Market result
Algeria
98.0%
BTTS
No
71.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
AlgeriaSomalia
Algeria
0
5
Total shots
AlgeriaSomalia
Algeria
0
9
Corners
AlgeriaSomalia
Algeria
2
15
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.