Solomon Islands
New Zealand won after full-time.
0 - 5
FT
New Zealand
Postmatch editorial
New Zealand found the margin in a finely priced match
The final score was Solomon Islands 0-5 New Zealand. The model and the market were not perfectly aligned, but one side of that divide ended up cashing out.
The decisive turn arrived late when Matthew Garbett scored 90+1' for New Zealand.
Before kickoff, our model made Solomon Islands the likeliest result at 46.8%, while the median bookmaker line priced New Zealand at 87.0% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (57.6%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Solomon Islands
46.8%
Market result
New Zealand
87.0%
BTTS
Yes
57.6%
Key stats
Match numbers
No reliable match statistics were returned for this game.
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.