Postmatch editorial

KF Ballkani flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Shkupi 1-2 KF Ballkani. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Shkupi struck first through Sunday Adetunji 19', but KF Ballkani recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Shkupi led Shots on target 5-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Shkupi also shaded Total shots 13-4.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Shkupi the favourite at 46.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Shkupi

46.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Shkupi

Shkupi

KF Ballkani

5

2

Total shots

Shkupi

Shkupi

KF Ballkani

13

4

Corners

Shkupi

Shkupi

KF Ballkani

8

2