Postmatch editorial

Sevilla II upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Sevilla II 2-1 Numancia. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Álex Pozo scored 79' for Sevilla II.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Numancia led Shots on target 5-9, even though the scoreboard went another way. Numancia also shaded Total shots 12-22.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Numancia the favourite at 51.9% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Numancia

51.9%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Numancia

Sevilla II

Numancia

5

9

Total shots

Numancia

Sevilla II

Numancia

12

22

Corners

Numancia

Sevilla II

Numancia

5

9