Postmatch editorial

Sestao River flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Sestao River 1-0 Racing Ferrol. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Leandro Martínez put the first mark on the match 47', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Racing Ferrol led Shots on target 2-7, even though the scoreboard went another way. Racing Ferrol also shaded Total shots 8-13.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Racing Ferrol the favourite at 41.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Racing Ferrol

41.7%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Racing Ferrol

Sestao River

Racing Ferrol

2

7

Total shots

Racing Ferrol

Sestao River

Racing Ferrol

8

13

Possession

Racing Ferrol

Sestao River

Racing Ferrol

46%

54%