Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was SD Amorebieta 0-1 CD Badajoz. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Kingsley Fobi put the first mark on the match 62', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: SD Amorebieta led Corners 6-1, even though the scoreboard went another way. SD Amorebieta also shaded Possession 54%-46%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made SD Amorebieta the favourite at 45.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

SD Amorebieta

45.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

SD Amorebieta

SD Amorebieta

CD Badajoz

6

1

Possession

SD Amorebieta

SD Amorebieta

CD Badajoz

54%

46%

Shots on target

SD Amorebieta

CD Badajoz

3

3