Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was SC Heerenveen 0-2 PEC Zwolle. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Nick Viergever put the first mark on the match 50', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: SC Heerenveen led Possession 64%-36%, even though the scoreboard went another way. PEC Zwolle also shaded Shots on target 5-7.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made SC Heerenveen the favourite at 66.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

SC Heerenveen

66.7%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Possession

SC Heerenveen

SC Heerenveen

PEC Zwolle

64%

36%

Shots on target

PEC Zwolle

SC Heerenveen

PEC Zwolle

5

7

Corners

SC Heerenveen

SC Heerenveen

PEC Zwolle

5

3