Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was SC Heerenveen 1-0 FC Twente. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Luca Oyen put the first mark on the match 52', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: FC Twente led Total shots 7-18, even though the scoreboard went another way. FC Twente also shaded Corners 4-8.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made FC Twente the favourite at 47.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

FC Twente

47.6%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

FC Twente

SC Heerenveen

FC Twente

7

18

Corners

FC Twente

SC Heerenveen

FC Twente

4

8

Shots on target

SC Heerenveen

SC Heerenveen

FC Twente

4

3