Postmatch editorial

The prices said close and the pitch agreed

The final score was SC Freiburg 1-1 VfL Wolfsburg. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.

The late equaliser came from Philipp Lienhart 75', which kept the game level at the finish.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: VfL Wolfsburg led Corners 1-7, even though the scoreboard went another way. SC Freiburg also shaded Possession 63%-37%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made SC Freiburg the favourite at 47.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

SC Freiburg

47.6%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

VfL Wolfsburg

SC Freiburg

VfL Wolfsburg

1

7

Possession

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

VfL Wolfsburg

63%

37%

Shots on target

VfL Wolfsburg

SC Freiburg

VfL Wolfsburg

3

4