SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg won after full-time.
2 - 1
FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Postmatch editorial
The script held and SC Freiburg delivered it
The final score was SC Freiburg 2-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
Matthias Ginter put the first mark on the match 38', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: SC Freiburg led Shots on target 6-2. Borussia Mönchengladbach also shaded Possession 37%-63%.
Before kickoff, our model made SC Freiburg the likeliest result at 56.6%, while the median bookmaker line priced SC Freiburg at 47.6% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (51.2%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
SC Freiburg
56.6%
Market result
SC Freiburg
47.6%
BTTS
Yes
51.2%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
SC FreiburgSC Freiburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
6
2
Possession
Borussia MönchengladbachSC Freiburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
37%
63%
Total shots
Borussia MönchengladbachSC Freiburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
10
12
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.