Postmatch editorial

Lecce upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Sassuolo 2-3 Lecce. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Nikola Stulic scored 90+6' for Lecce.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Sassuolo led Possession 74%-26%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Lecce also shaded Corners 2-8.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Sassuolo the favourite at 39.2% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Sassuolo

39.2%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Possession

Sassuolo

Sassuolo

Lecce

74%

26%

Corners

Lecce

Sassuolo

Lecce

2

8

Total shots

Sassuolo

Sassuolo

Lecce

15

11