Postmatch editorial

Santa Clara upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Santa Clara 1-0 Famalicão. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Gonçalo Paciência put the first mark on the match 22', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Famalicão led Corners 1-9, even though the scoreboard went another way. Famalicão also shaded Possession 32%-68%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Famalicão the favourite at 37.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Famalicão

37.0%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Famalicão

Santa Clara

Famalicão

1

9

Possession

Famalicão

Santa Clara

Famalicão

32%

68%

Shots on target

Famalicão

Santa Clara

Famalicão

2

3