Postmatch editorial

Hartberg upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Salzburg 1-3 Hartberg. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Damjan Kovacevic scored 90' for Hartberg.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Salzburg led Corners 13-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Salzburg also shaded Total shots 22-9.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Salzburg the favourite at 81.3% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Salzburg

81.3%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Salzburg

Salzburg

Hartberg

13

2

Total shots

Salzburg

Salzburg

Hartberg

22

9

Possession

Salzburg

Salzburg

Hartberg

66%

34%