Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Saint-Étienne 0-1 Dijon. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Aboubakar Kamara put the first mark on the match 39', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Saint-Étienne led Shots on target 5-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Saint-Étienne also shaded Total shots 19-10.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Saint-Étienne the favourite at 77.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Saint-Étienne

77.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Saint-Étienne

Saint-Étienne

Dijon

5

2

Total shots

Saint-Étienne

Saint-Étienne

Dijon

19

10

Corners

Saint-Étienne

Saint-Étienne

Dijon

9

3