Postmatch editorial

Gimnasia La Plata flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Rosario Central 1-2 Gimnasia La Plata. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Ignacio Miramón scored 88' for Gimnasia La Plata.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Rosario Central led Shots on target 7-3, even though the scoreboard went another way. Rosario Central also shaded Corners 10-3.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Rosario Central the favourite at 62.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Rosario Central

62.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Rosario Central

Rosario Central

Gimnasia La Plata

7

3

Corners

Rosario Central

Rosario Central

Gimnasia La Plata

10

3

Possession

Rosario Central

Rosario Central

Gimnasia La Plata

68%

32%